Worked examples: claims checked at the time they were made
Each example restates a claim as it stood when it was made, before anyone ruled on it, and checks it against the terms it had to meet. The same assessment runs in every case; the examples are grouped by where it is used. They are illustrations of the method, not a measure of accuracy.
Prediction-market settlement
Markets settled by token vote, assessed by hand using the ASR methodology, and by the ASR itself, at the time of the settlement claim.
Illustrative scenario, not a published case: a hypothetical transaction you can run yourself in the ASR. It has no court or market outcome to compare against.